{"id":3955,"date":"2014-01-31T14:24:53","date_gmt":"2014-01-31T14:24:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/green-liberty.org\/circlesandsquares\/?p=3955"},"modified":"2014-01-31T14:25:58","modified_gmt":"2014-01-31T14:25:58","slug":"%e4%ba%9a%e6%b4%b2%e5%85%ac%e6%95%8c-%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e5%8f%98%e5%8c%96-emanuel-pastreich-%e8%b4%9d%e4%b8%80%e6%98%8e%ef%bc%89","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/green-liberty.org\/circlesandsquares\/2014\/01\/31\/%e4%ba%9a%e6%b4%b2%e5%85%ac%e6%95%8c-%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e5%8f%98%e5%8c%96-emanuel-pastreich-%e8%b4%9d%e4%b8%80%e6%98%8e%ef%bc%89\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e9a\u6d32\u516c\u654c: \u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316 (Emanuel Pastreich \u8d1d\u4e00\u660e\uff09"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e9a\u6d32\u516c\u654c: \u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316<\/b><\/h1>\n
\u539f\u6587\uff1a<\/span><\/h5>\n
\u201c<\/b>On Climate, Defense Could Preserve and Protect, Rather Than Kill and Destroy<\/b>\u201d<\/b><\/span><\/a><\/h5>\n
\u767b\u8f7d\u4e8e\u201cTruth Out\u201d\uff082013\u5e743\u67087\u65e5\uff09<\/span><\/h5>\n

\uff3b\u8d75\u5bd2\u7389\u7ffb\u8bd1\uff3d<\/p>\n

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\u4f7f\u547d\u7684\u5f00\u542f<\/b><\/b><\/p>\n

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\u6e29\u5ba4\u6548\u5e94\u3001\u6c34\u571f\u6ee5\u7528\u4ee5\u53ca\u519c\u4e1a\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4e0d\u5f53\u4f7f\u5f97\u519c\u4e1a\u7528\u5730\u707e\u96be\u6027\u5730\u51cf\u5c11\u3002\u4e0d\u5408\u7406\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u653f\u7b56\u4e5f\u53ea\u77e5\u9053\u5c06\u571f\u5730\u89c6\u4e3a\u6d88\u8d39\u54c1\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u7ef4\u6301\u4eba\u7c7b\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u57281994\u5e74\u901a\u8fc7\u4e86\u300a\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u9632\u6cbb\u8352\u6f20\u5316\u516c\u7ea6\u300b\uff0c\u5c06\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u6538\u5173\u8005\u8054\u5408\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\u5e94\u5bf9\u8352\u6f20\u5316\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u81f3\u5c11\u670910\u4ebf\u4eba\u53d7\u5230\u8352\u6f20\u5316\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u5a01\u80c1\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u8fc7\u5ea6\u8015\u4f5c\u548c\u964d\u6c34\u51cf\u5c11\u4f7f\u5e72\u65f1\u5730\u533a\u8106\u5f31\u7684\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u53d7\u5230\u4e25\u91cd\u7834\u574f\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u662f\u5168\u7403\u4e8c\u5341\u4ebf\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u5bb6\u56ed\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u8fd9\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u6027\u7cae\u98df\u751f\u4ea7\u548c\u6d41\u79bb\u5931\u6240\u4eba\u7fa4\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5c06\u66f4\u52a0\u6df1\u91cd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u5404\u5927\u6d32\u8352\u6f20\u5316\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u6027\uff0c\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u5df2\u5c06\u672a\u6765\u5341\u5e74\uff082010-2020\uff09\u5b9a\u4e3a\u201c\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8352\u6f20\u4e0e\u9632\u6cbb\u8352\u6f20\u5316\u5341\u5e74\u201d\uff0c\u5e76\u5ba3\u5e03\u8352\u6f20\u5316\u662f\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u65f6\u4ee3\u6700\u4e25\u5cfb\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6311\u6218\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u65f6\u4efb\u300a\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u9632\u6cbb\u8352\u6f20\u5316\u516c\u7ea6\u300b\u7684\u6267\u884c\u79d8\u4e66\u5415\u514b\u00b7\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5361\u8d3e\uff08Luc Gnacadja\uff09\u5766\u7387\u5730\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u5730\u8868\u6700\u4e0a\u9762\u768420\u5398\u7c73\u571f\u58e4\u5c06\u51b3\u5b9a\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u5b58\u4ea1\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5927\u536b\u00b7\u8499\u54e5\u9a6c\u5229\uff08David Montgomery\uff09\u5728\u4ed6\u7684\u300a\u5c18\u571f\uff1a\u6587\u660e\u7684\u4fb5\u8680\u300b\uff08Dirt: The Erosion of Civilizations<\/i>\uff09\u4e00\u4e66\u4e2d\u8be6\u7ec6\u5730\u8bf4\u660e\u8fd9\u79cd\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u6027\u3002\u8499\u54e5\u9a6c\u5229\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u571f\u58e4\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u7ecf\u5e38\u88ab\u9119\u89c6\u4e3a\u201c\u5c18\u571f\u201d\u7684\u7269\u8d28\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u662f\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6218\u7565\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u6bd4\u6c34\u548c\u6cb9\u66f4\u52a0\u73cd\u8d35\u3002\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u81ea1945\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u670938%\u7684\u8015\u5730\u4e25\u91cd\u9000\u5316\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\u8015\u5730\u7684\u8150\u8680\u6bd4\u5f62\u6210\u8981\u5feb\u4e0a100\u500d\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u8d8b\u52bf\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u6e29\u5ea6\u5347\u9ad8\u548c\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u7f8e\u56fd\u897f\u90e8\u7684\u7cae\u98df\u4ea7\u5730\u6108\u53d1\u96be\u4ee5\u80a9\u8d1f\u8d77\u519c\u4e1a\u91cd\u4efb\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5bb9\u6613\u906d\u53d7\u5927\u96e8\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4fb5\u8680\u3002\u7b80\u800c\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u4e00\u4e9b\u7cae\u98df\u4ea7\u5730\u7684\u4e2d\u5fc3\u90e8\u5206\u90fd\u5728\u6f14\u53d8\u6210\u6c99\u6f20\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8499\u54e5\u9a6c\u5229\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u50cf\u5185\u8499\u53e4\u4e00\u6837\u7684\u6b63\u906d\u53d7\u8352\u6f20\u5316\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u6b63\u5145\u5f53\u7740\u5168\u7403\u8352\u6f20\u5316\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u9884\u8b66\u5668\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6b63\u5728\u6269\u5f20\u7684\u6c99\u6f20\u5e94\u6210\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u524d\u8f66\u4e4b\u9274\u3002\u201c\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u5728\u6211\u7684\u5bb6\u4e61\u897f\u96c5\u56fe\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u6bcf\u5e74\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\u51cf\u5c11\u51e0\u82f1\u5bf8\u6216\u8005\u6c14\u6e29\u4e0a\u5347\u4e00\u5ea6\uff0c\u5230\u5904\u4ecd\u90fd\u662f\u5e38\u7eff\u6797\u3002\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u5728\u5e72\u65f1\u7684\u8349\u539f\uff0c\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\u51cf\u5c11\u51e0\u82f1\u5bf8\u90a3\u5c31\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e86\u2014\u2014\u90a3\u91cc\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u6ca1\u591a\u5c11\u96e8\u3002\u867d\u7136\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u8352\u6f20\u5316\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e3a\u690d\u88ab\u51cf\u5c11\u3001\u98ce\u5316\u4fb5\u8680\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6c34\u571f\u6d41\u5931\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u66f4\u613f\u610f\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u90fd\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u6c34\u571f\u6d41\u5931\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u53ea\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u751f\u6001\u6700\u8106\u5f31\u7684\u5730\u533a\u5728\u906d\u53d7\u6298\u78e8\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6781\u5730\u51b0\u76d6\u878d\u5316\u5bfc\u81f4\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u6d77\u5cb8\u7ebf\u540e\u64a4\uff0c\u5a01\u80c1\u6cbf\u6d77\u5c45\u6c11\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u7c7b\u4f3c\u98d3\u98ce\u6851\u8fea\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u5c06\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5e38\u89c1\u30022012\u5e746\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u79d1\u5b66\u9662\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u300a\u52a0\u5229\u798f\u5c3c\u4e9a\u3001\u4fc4\u52d2\u5188\u548c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u6d77\u5cb8\u7684\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\uff1a\u8fc7\u53bb\u3001\u73b0\u72b6\u53ca\u5c06\u6765\u300b\uff0c\u62a5\u544a\u9884\u6d4b\u52302030\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0e2000\u5e74\u76f8\u6bd4\u5c06\u4e0a\u53478\u81f323\u5398\u7c73\uff0c2050\u5e74\u5c06\u4e0a\u534718\u523048\u5398\u7c73\uff0c\u52302100\u5e74\u5c06\u8fbe\u523050\u81f3140\u5398\u7c73\u3002\u8fd9\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u5bf92100\u5e74\u60c5\u51b5\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u6bd4\u201c\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u95f4\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e13\u95e8\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u201d\u6240\u4f5c\u768418\u523058\u5398\u7c73\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u8981\u9ad8\u5f97\u591a\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u79c1\u5e95\u4e0b\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u4e13\u5bb6\u6301\u66f4\u52a0\u60b2\u89c2\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u8fd9\u573a\u707e\u96be\u5c06\u4f1a\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u513f\u5b59\u8f88\u7684\u6709\u751f\u4e4b\u5e74\u53d1\u751f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7279\u533a\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff08Institute for Policy Studies\uff09\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u80fd\u6e90\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u52a8\u6001\u5904\u4e3b\u4efb\u73cd\u59ae\u00b7\u91cc\u5fb7\u66fc\uff08Janet Redman\uff09\u66fe\u89c2\u5bdf\u8fc7\u6cdb\u6cdb\u800c\u8c08\u7684\u73af\u5883\u5cf0\u4f1a\u505a\u51fa\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u5979\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u98d3\u98ce\u6851\u8fea\u5df2\u7ecf\u5c06\u73af\u5883\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5e26\u5230\u8eab\u8fb9\uff1a\u201c\u98d3\u98ce\u6851\u8fea\u7684\u786e\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u66f4\u52a0\u771f\u5207\u5730\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\uff08\u6bd4\u8d77\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u9ad8\u6df1\u7406\u8bba\uff09\u662f\u666e\u901a\u4eba\u80fd\u591f\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u7684\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e3b\u6d41\u4eba\u7269\uff0c\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5dde\u957f\u5b89\u5fb7\u9c81\u00b7\u5e93\u9ed8\uff08Andrew Cuomo\uff09\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u573a\u98d3\u98ce\u6b63\u662f\u2018\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u2019\u7684\u540e\u679c\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728\u65b0\u6cfd\u897f\u5dde\u957f\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u00b7\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u8482\uff08Chris Christie\uff09\u7533\u8bf7\u8054\u90a6\u8d44\u91d1\u4ee5\u91cd\u5efa\u6d77\u5cb8\u7ebf\u65f6\uff0c\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5e02\u957f\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u00b7\u5e03\u9686\u4f2f\u683c\uff08Michael Bloomberg\uff09\u5219\u60f3\u5f97\u66f4\u8fdc\u3002\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5e94\u8be5\u52a8\u7528\u8054\u90a6\u8d44\u91d1\u91cd\u5efa\u6574\u4e2a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u57ce\uff0c\u91cc\u5fb7\u66fc\u56de\u5fc6\u9053\uff0c\u201c\u4ed6\u660e\u786e\u5730\u8bf4\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u5728\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u7acb\u9a6c\u7740\u624b\u521b\u5efa\u4e00\u4e2a\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u201d\u3002\u201c\u5e03\u9686\u4f2f\u683c\u6307\u660e\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5c31\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u8eab\u8fb9\u3002\u4ed6\u751a\u81f3\u60f3\u5f97\u66f4\u8fdc\uff0c\u5efa\u8bae\u6211\u4eec\u6062\u590d\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5e02\u5468\u56f4\u7684\u6e7f\u5730\u4ee5\u7f13\u51b2\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u98d3\u98ce\u3002\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u4e00\u4e2a\u9002\u5e94\u6218\u7565\u3002\u6781\u7aef\u6c14\u5019\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e0e\u4e3b\u6d41\u9ad8\u66b4\u5149\u7387\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\u8a00\u8bba\u7684\u7ed3\u5408\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u6539\u53d8\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u8bdd\u8bed\u73af\u5883\u3002\u5e03\u9686\u4f2f\u683c\u4e0d\u662f\u6208\u5c14\uff08Al Gore\uff09\uff0c\u4ed6\u5e76\u975e\u73af\u4fdd\u4eba\u58eb\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u73af\u5883\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u53ef\u80fd\u4e3a\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u4e49\u5b89\u5168\u6982\u5ff5\u63d0\u4f9b\u65b0\u7684\u89c6\u89d2\u3002\u3002\u7845\u8c37\u56fe\u5f62\u516c\u53f8\u524dCEO\u9c8d\u52c3\u00b7\u6bd5\u590f\u666e\uff08Robert Bishop\uff09\u6210\u7acb\u4e86\u5730\u7403\u6a21\u62df\u56fd\u9645\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08International Centre for Earth Simulation\uff09\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u7406\u89e3\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u6bd5\u590f\u666e\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u98d3\u98ce\u6851\u8fea\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u635f\u5931\u5927\u7ea6600\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u800c\u98d3\u98ce\u5361\u7279\u5c3c\u5a1c\u548c\u5a01\u5c14\u739b\u4ee5\u53ca\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u6e7e\u6f0f\u6cb9\u4e8b\u6545\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u6869\u707e\u96be\u7684\u4ee3\u4ef7\u90fd\u9ad8\u8fbe1000\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u662f\u6bcf\u6869\u4ee3\u4ef71000\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u751f\u6001\u707e\u96be\u201d\u3002\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u201c\u8fd9\u79cd\u707e\u96be\u5c06\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8\u4e94\u89d2\u5927\u697c\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6beb\u65e0\u7591\u95ee\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u5c06\u6574\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7f6e\u4e8e\u5371\u9669\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e1c\u90e8\u6d77\u5cb8\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u5c06\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u4ee3\u4ef7\u3002\u6cbf\u6d77\u57ce\u5e02\u4e0d\u4e45\u5c31\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u5927\u91cf\u8d44\u91d1\u6765\u4fdd\u62a4\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5f17\u5409\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde\u8bfa\u798f\u514b\u5730\u533a\u662f\u4e1c\u6d77\u5cb8\u552f\u4e00\u7684\u6838\u52a8\u529b\u822a\u6bcd\u57fa\u5730\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u57ce\u5e02\u6b63\u9762\u4e34\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u6d2a\u6c34\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u6bd5\u590f\u666e\u63a5\u7740\u89e3\u91ca\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u201c\u6587\u660e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u201d\u7ebd\u7ea6\u3001\u6ce2\u58eb\u987f\u548c\u6d1b\u6749\u77f6\u90fd\u5750\u843d\u4e8e\u6574\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6700\u8106\u5f31\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u6839\u672c\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u884c\u52a8\u4fdd\u62a4\u5b83\u4eec\u514d\u53d7\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u62b5\u5fa1\u5916\u56fd\u519b\u961f\u548c\u5bfc\u5f39\u7684\u5165\u4fb5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6ca1\u6709\u88ab\u89c6\u4f5c\u201c\u5a01\u80c1\u201d\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5e94\u5bf9\u73af\u5883\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u6ca1\u6709\u505a\u51fa\u4efb\u4f55\u52aa\u529b\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5982\u679c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6fd2\u4e34\u706d\u7edd\u7684\u7269\u79cd\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u6211\u4eec\u6240\u505a\u7684\u8fd8\u8fdc\u8fdc\u4e0d\u591f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e5f\u8bb8\u90e8\u5206\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u4e8e\u65f6\u95f4\u7ef4\u5ea6\u3002\u519b\u65b9\u8d8b\u5411\u4e8e\u601d\u8003\u5feb\u901f\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u4fdd\u536b\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\uff1a\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5728\u591a\u5c11\u5c0f\u65f6\u5185\u53ef\u4ee5\u4fdd\u536b\u597d\u4e00\u4e2a\u673a\u573a\uff0c\u6216\u5728\u591a\u5c11\u5206\u949f\u5185\u53ef\u4ee5\u6467\u6bc1\u6218\u533a\u5185\u7684\u65b0\u76ee\u6807\u70b9\uff1f\u8fd9\u79cd\u8d8b\u52bf\u603b\u4f53\u4e0a\u4f1a\u56e0\u4e3a\u60c5\u62a5\u6536\u96c6\u548c\u5206\u6790\u5468\u671f\u7684\u7f29\u77ed\u800c\u5f3a\u5316\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u80fd\u540c\u65f6\u5e94\u5bf9\u7f51\u7edc\u653b\u51fb\u548c\u5bfc\u5f39\u53d1\u5c04\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5feb\u901f\u53cd\u5e94\u5728\u7279\u5b9a\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u5f88\u6709\u6548\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u79cd\u5bf9\u201c\u5feb\u901f\u89e3\u7b54\u201d\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u9700\u6c42\u5374\u4e0e\u5b9e\u9645\u5b89\u5168\u5173\u8054\u751a\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u8bf4\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u5a01\u80c1\u8981\u4ee5\u4e0a\u767e\u5e74\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u5462\uff1f\u6050\u6015\u519b\u65b9\u6216\u8005\u5b89\u5168\u90e8\u95e8\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u7cfb\u7edf\u5e94\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e48\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u5927\u536b\u00b7\u8499\u54e5\u9a6c\u5229\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u95ee\u9898\u624d\u662f\u4eba\u7c7b\u5f53\u524d\u8981\u9762\u5bf9\u7684\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u8868\u5c42\u571f\u58e4\u4ee5\u6bcf\u5e741%\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u6d41\u5931\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u57fa\u672c\u5bf9\u6b64\u89c6\u800c\u4e0d\u89c1\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u5c06\u5728\u4e0d\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u5bf9\u5168\u4eba\u7c7b\u9020\u6210\u4e00\u573a\u707e\u96be\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u8868\u5c42\u571f\u58e4\u7684\u751f\u6210\u9700\u8981\u4e0a\u767e\u5e74\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u53ef\u8015\u5730\u7684\u6d41\u5931\u4e0e\u5feb\u901f\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u7ed3\u5408\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\uff0c\u65e0\u7591\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u4f46\u76ee\u524d\u57fa\u672c\u6ca1\u4efb\u4f55\u5b89\u5168\u90e8\u95e8\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u8fd9\u4ef6\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u73cd\u59ae\u00b7\u91cc\u5fb7\u66fc\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u8be5\u627e\u51fa\u4e00\u79cd\u4e1a\u754c\u53ef\u63a5\u53d7\u7684\u3001\u957f\u671f\u6027\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u201c\u4ece\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u8bf4\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u5f00\u59cb\u4ece\u540e\u4ee3\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u601d\u8003\u5b89\u5168\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u53ef\u79f0\u4e3a\u2018\u4ee3\u9645\u5b89\u5168\u2019\uff0c\u5373\u6211\u4eec\u4eca\u5929\u6240\u505a\u7684\u4e8b\u5c06\u4f1a\u8d85\u8d8a\u6211\u4eec\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u800c\u5f71\u54cd\u5b50\u5b59\u540e\u4ee3\u3002\u201d\u800c\u4e14\uff0c\u91cc\u5fb7\u66fc\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5bf9\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u6765\u8bf4\u5c06\u4f1a\u975e\u5e38\u5730\u53ef\u6015\uff0c\u201c\u5982\u679c\u95ee\u9898\u4e25\u91cd\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u6bc1\u6389\u6240\u6709\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6709\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\uff0c\u6467\u6bc1\u6211\u4eec\u719f\u6089\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u6539\u53d8\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u4ea4\u901a\u3001\u996e\u98df\u8fd8\u662f\u4e8b\u4e1a\u3001\u5bb6\u5ead\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u7684\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u8981\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u8d3e\u96f7\u5fb7\u00b7\u6234\u8499\u5fb7\uff08Jared Diamond\uff09\u5728\u5176\u300a\u5d29\u6e83\uff1a\u793e\u4f1a\u5982\u4f55\u9009\u62e9\u6210\u8d25\u5174\u4ea1\u300b\uff08Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Survive<\/i>\uff09\u4e00\u4e66\u4e2d\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u603b\u662f\u9700\u8981\u5468\u671f\u6027\u5730\u5728\u76ee\u524d\u4e3b\u5bb0\u8005\u8212\u670d\u4e60\u60ef\u7684\u77ed\u671f\u5229\u76ca\u548c\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4ee3\u4eba\u7684\u957f\u671f\u5229\u76ca\u95f4\u4f5c\u51fa\u6289\u62e9\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4eec\u5f88\u5c11\u80fd\u591f\u7406\u89e3\u201c\u4ee3\u9645\u516c\u5e73\u201d\uff08intergenerational justice\uff09\u3002\u6234\u8499\u5fb7\u8fd8\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5f53\u9700\u8981\u505a\u51fa\u7684\u6539\u53d8\u4e0e\u73b0\u5b58\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u6587\u5316\u4e0e\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u57fa\u7840\u8d8a\u76f8\u6096\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u5c31\u8d8a\u8d8b\u4e8e\u5426\u5b9a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u6839\u6e90\u5728\u4e8e\u6211\u4eec\u76f2\u76ee\u7684\u7269\u8d28\u6d88\u8d39\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u79cd\u6d88\u8d39\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u81ea\u7531\u548c\u81ea\u6211\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u8c61\u5f81\uff0c\u90a3\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u6781\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u6b65\u590d\u6d3b\u5c9b\u4e0a\u6d88\u5931\u7684\u6587\u660e\u7684\u540e\u5c18\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6216\u8bb8\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u5bf9\u6050\u6016\u4e3b\u4e49\u548c\u65e0\u4f11\u6b62\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u6269\u5f20\u5982\u6b64\u7684\u6267\u5ff5\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u5fc3\u7406\u5426\u5b9a\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u8ffd\u6c42\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u800c\u8f6c\u79fb\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u5982\u6b64\u4e25\u91cd\u548c\u8feb\u5207\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u53cd\u7701\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u8eab\u4efd\u3001\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u8981\u53cd\u601d\u662f\u5426\u6bcf\u4e00\u676f\u62ff\u94c1\u5496\u5561\u3001\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u590f\u5a01\u5937\u5ea6\u5047\u90fd\u662f\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u8fd9\u8fdc\u6bd4\u5c06\u67aa\u53e3\u5bf9\u51c6\u7ad9\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u5c71\u5934\u4e0a\u7684\u67d0\u4e2a\u654c\u4eba\u8981\u590d\u6742\u5f97\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u66fe\u731b\u70c8\u62a8\u51fb\u201c\u4e94\u89d2\u5927\u697c\u80a5\u80d6\u75c7\u201d\u7684\u300a\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u805a\u7126\u300b\uff08Foreign Policy in Focu<\/i>s\uff09\u4e3b\u7f16\u7ea6\u7ff0\u00b7\u8d39\u5f17\uff08John Feffer\uff09 \u5c06\u8fd9\u79cd\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u751f\u52a8\u5730\u6982\u62ec\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u201c\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6df1\u9677\u8352\u6f20\u8513\u5ef6\u548c\u6d77\u6c34\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u56f0\u5883\u4e2d\uff0c\u5374\u65e0\u6cd5\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u66f4\u522b\u8bf4\u627e\u5230\u89e3\u51b3\u529e\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u4eec\u4eff\u4f5b\u7ad9\u5728\u975e\u6d32\u8349\u539f\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e00\u8fb9\u662f\u4e00\u53ea\u8fce\u9762\u51b2\u6765\u7684\u5927\u8c61\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u8fb9\u662f\u4e00\u53ea\u51c6\u5907\u6251\u8fc7\u6765\u7684\u72ee\u5b50\u3002\u800c\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u5728\u5e72\u561b\uff1f\u5728\u5173\u5fc3\u90a3\u4e9b\u65e0\u8db3\u8f7b\u91cd\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u2014\u2014\u722c\u5230\u6211\u4eec\u811a\u4e0a\u54ac\u6211\u4eec\u8dbe\u5934\u7684\u8682\u8681\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u57fa\u5730\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u5f53\u7136\u90a3\u4e5f\u4f1a\u75db\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u662f\u4e3b\u8981\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5982\u6b64\u5fd9\u4e8e\u4f4e\u5934\u770b\u811a\u8dbe\uff0c\u5374\u5ffd\u89c6\u4e86\u8eab\u8fb9\u7684\u5927\u8c61\u548c\u72ee\u5b50\u3002\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u7b80\u5355\u6765\u8bf4\u662f\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u548c\u5927\u4f17\u5a92\u4f53\u7f3a\u4e4f\u60f3\u8c61\u529b\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u5c31\u662f\u65e0\u6cd5\u60f3\u8c61\u73af\u5883\u707e\u96be\u8fd9\u79cd\u6700\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u603b\u89c9\u5f97\u660e\u5929\u8ddf\u4eca\u5929\u672c\u8d28\u4e0a\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\uff0c\u53d1\u5c55\u603b\u662f\u7ebf\u6027\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u7ec8\u6781\u6d4b\u9a8c\u59cb\u7ec8\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002\u3002\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u707e\u96be\u7b80\u76f4\u96be\u4ee5\u60f3\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u5f62\u52bf\u5371\u6025\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u9700\u8981\u6c42\u52a9\u4e8e\u519b\u961f\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u653f\u5ba2\u4eec\u90fd\u4e60\u60ef\u6027\u5730\u79f0\u8d5e\u7f8e\u56fd\u519b\u961f\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u652f\u529b\u91cf\u5bf9\u8352\u6f20\u8513\u5ef6\u3001\u6c34\u571f\u6d41\u5931\u6beb\u65e0\u51c6\u5907\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u547d\u8fd0\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0e\u96ea\u83b1\u300a\u5965\u65af\u66fc\u72c4\u65af\u300b\u4e00\u8bd7\u4e2d\u88ab\u9057\u5fd8\u7684\u7687\u5e1d\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u5e9f\u589f\u96d5\u50cf\u4e0a\u523b\u7740:<\/p>\n

\u529f\u4e1a\u76d6\u4e16\uff0c\u6599\u5929\u795e\u5927\u80fd\u8005\u65e0\u53ef\u53ca\uff01<\/em><\/em><\/p>\n

\u800c\u4eca\u4e00\u5207\u8361\u7136\u65e0\u5b58\u3002\u504c\u5927\u7684\u5e9f\u589f\uff0c<\/em><\/em><\/p>\n

\u6b8b\u9ab8\u56db\u5468\u53ea\u6709\u90a3\u82cd\u832b\u8352\u51c9\u7684\u6208\u58c1\uff0c<\/em><\/em><\/p>\n

\u5b64\u5bc2\u9ec4\u6c99\u5411\u8fdc\u65b9\u94fa\u5c55\uff0c\u65e0\u8fb9\u65e0\u9645\u3002<\/em><\/em><\/p>\n

Look on my works, ye Mighty, and despair!<\/em><\/p>\n

Nothing beside remains. Round the decay<\/em><\/p>\n

Of that colossal wreck, boundless and bare<\/em><\/p>\n

The lone and level sands stretch far away.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

\u9632\u6cbb\u8352\u6f20\u8513\u5ef6\u548c\u6d77\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u9700\u8981\u5de8\u91cf\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u548c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u96c6\u4f53\u667a\u6167\u3002\u4e0d\u4ec5\u8981\u91cd\u6574\u653f\u5e9c\u7cfb\u7edf\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u8fd8\u8981\u91cd\u5851\u6587\u660e\u3002\u4f46\u95ee\u9898\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\uff1a\u8fd9\u79cd\u5e94\u5bf9\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u6539\u53d8\u653f\u7b56\u4f18\u5148\u6b21\u5e8f\u548c\u52a8\u673a\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u5c06\u5176\u7b49\u540c\u4e3a\u6218\u4e89\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u5373\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u201c\u5e94\u5bf9\u65b9\u6cd5\u201d\u548c\u201c\u5047\u60f3\u654c\u201d\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u201c\u5168\u9762\u6218\u4e89\u201d\uff1f\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u5426\u5e94\u5c06\u5b83\u89c6\u4e3a\u751f\u6b7b\u6538\u5173\u7684\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u8fdb\u884c\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u793e\u4f1a\u52a8\u5458\u3001\u63a7\u5236\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f7f\u5176\u5408\u7406\u5316\u3001\u5236\u8ba2\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u77ed\u671f\u548c\u957f\u671f\u6218\u7565\u8ba1\u5212\uff1f\u8fd9\u573a\u5371\u673a\u662f\u5426\u9700\u8981\u63a8\u884c\u6218\u65f6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u5168\u9762\u53cd\u601d\u519b\u4e8b\u7cfb\u7edf\uff1f<\/p>\n

\u53d1\u52a8\u519b\u961f\u6765\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6709\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u66b4\u529b\u601d\u7ef4\u76db\u884c\u7684\u65f6\u4ee3\u3002\u5927\u95e8\u655e\u5f00\uff0c\u8ba9\u653f\u754c\u5f3a\u76d7\u5728\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5bfa\u5e99\u91cc\u4e3a\u975e\u4f5c\u6b79\u81ea\u7136\u4e5f\u662f\u4e00\u573a\u7978\u5bb3\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4e94\u89d2\u5927\u697c\u4ee5\u6b64\u4e3a\u7531\uff0c\u6295\u5165\u66f4\u591a\u9884\u7b97\u5230\u90a3\u4e9b\u5bf9\u771f\u6b63\u89e3\u51b3\u95ee\u9898\u6ca1\u591a\u5927\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u4e0a\u5462\uff1f\u4f17\u6240\u5468\u77e5\uff0c\u5728\u5f88\u591a\u4f20\u7edf\u5b89\u5168\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u8d8b\u52bf\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u5c06\u519b\u961f\u7684\u6587\u5316\u4e0e\u8d23\u4efb\u4e0d\u6070\u5f53\u5730\u7528\u4e8e\u89e3\u51b3\u6c14\u5019\u95ee\u9898\u5177\u6709\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u6700\u597d\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u6587\u5316\u8f6c\u578b\u6765\u6d88\u9664\u5a01\u80c1\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u662f\u63a7\u5236\u4e0d\u4f4f\u7528\u6b66\u529b\u89e3\u51b3\u4e00\u5207\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u51b2\u52a8\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u9a7e\u9a6d\u519b\u961f\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u706b\u4e0a\u6d47\u6cb9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u5728\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e0a\uff0c\u60c5\u51b5\u662f\u4e0d\u4e00\u6837\u7684\u3002\u91cd\u5efa\u519b\u961f\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u662f\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f1a\u4ece\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u6539\u53d8\u6574\u4e2a\u5b89\u4fdd\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u6587\u5316\u3001\u4f7f\u547d\u548c\u9996\u8981\u4efb\u52a1\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u522b\u65e0\u9009\u62e9\uff0c\u53ea\u80fd\u4e0e\u519b\u961f\u8fdb\u884c\u4e00\u573a\u8bba\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9664\u975e\u4eba\u4eec\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u4ece\u6c99\u6f20\u5316\u3001\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u3001\u98df\u7269\u77ed\u7f3a\u5230\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u7b49\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u8981\u4e0d\u7136\u6839\u672c\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u627e\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u63a8\u52a8\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u56fd\u519b\u961f\u6df1\u5165\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u96c6\u4f53\u5b89\u5168\u67b6\u6784\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u7f8e\u519b\u4e0d\u518d\u5145\u5f53\u56fd\u9645\u8b66\u5bdf\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u603b\u4f53\u5b89\u5168\u72b6\u51b5\u4e5f\u4f1a\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u4e0d\u4e50\u89c2\u3002\u9664\u975e\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u627e\u5230\u4e0d\u7528\u5171\u540c\u6f5c\u5728\u654c\u4eba\u4e5f\u80fd\u8ba9\u519b\u961f\u95f4\u5c55\u5f00\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u4e0d\u7136\u6211\u4eec\u5f88\u96be\u51cf\u5c11\u76ee\u524d\u9762\u5bf9\u7684\u5371\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8a79\u59c6\u65af\u00b7\u9c8d\u5fb7\u6e29\uff08James Baldwin\uff09\u5199\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u9762\u5bf9\u4e0d\u7b49\u4e8e\u6539\u53d8\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u53ea\u6709\u9762\u5bf9\u624d\u80fd\u6539\u53d8\u201d\u3002\u7a7a\u7b49\u519b\u961f\u81ea\u53d1\u8f6c\u53d8\u5c06\u4ec0\u4e48\u4e5f\u505a\u4e0d\u6210\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u505a\u597d\u89c4\u5212\uff0c\u65bd\u538b\u4fc3\u4f7f\u519b\u961f\u62c5\u5f53\u6210\u65b0\u89d2\u8272\u3002\u53cd\u5bf9\u519b\u961f\u4ecb\u5165\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u662f\u6b63\u786e\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u519b\u961f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u5927\u529b\u524a\u51cf\u9884\u7b97\u6765\u652f\u6301\u5176\u4ed6\u673a\u6784\u89e3\u51b3\u6c14\u5019\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\u5730\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u8ba9\u519b\u961f\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5371\u9669\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5f15\u5165\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u4f5c\u4e3a\u519b\u961f\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u539f\u5219\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u628a\u519b\u961f\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u7528\u4e8e\u6cbb\u7406\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u77eb\u6b63\u5371\u5bb3\u7f8e\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u5df2\u4e45\u7684\u9ee9\u6b66\u601d\u60f3\u548c\u66b4\u529b\u601d\u7ef4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f17\u6240\u5468\u77e5\uff0c\u519b\u961f\u603b\u662f\u5728\u51c6\u5907\u6253\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u573a\u4ed7\u3002\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u4ee5\u52c7\u6c14\u548c\u957f\u77db\u5bf9\u6297\u6b27\u6d32\u6b96\u6c11\u8005\u7684\u975e\u6d32\u914b\u957f\uff0c\u949f\u60c5\u6218\u9a6c\u3001\u9119\u89c6\u94c1\u8def\u7684\u5185\u6218\u5c06\u9886\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u5c06\u6b65\u5175\u5e08\u6d3e\u4e0a\u673a\u67aa\u6218\u573a\u6709\u5982\u666e\u6cd5\u6218\u4e89\u4e00\u6837\u7684\u4e00\u6218\u5c06\u9886\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u603b\u662f\u8bbe\u60f3\u4e0b\u4e00\u573a\u6218\u4e89\u4ec5\u4ec5\u53ea\u662f\u4e0a\u4e00\u573a\u7684\u6269\u5927\u7248\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u519b\u961f\u5c06\u5e94\u5bf9\u73af\u5883\u53d8\u5316\u5f53\u6210\u9996\u8981\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u53bb\u8bbe\u60f3\u4f0a\u6717\u548c\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u519b\u961f\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u5c06\u4f1a\u5f7b\u5e95\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u4e00\u7fa4\u65b0\u7684\u5e74\u8f7b\u4eba\u624d\u5c06\u6295\u5165\u8fd9\u9879\u4e8b\u4e1a\u3002\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9996\u5148\u91cd\u65b0\u5206\u914d\u519b\u8d39\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e5f\u4f1a\u6548\u4eff\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u4e16\u754c\u5c06\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u975e\u519b\u4e8b\u5316\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5408\u4f5c\u4e5f\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u63a8\u8fdb\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u5730\u533a\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u540c\u6837\u8feb\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u65ad\u5730\u5236\u9020\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6b66\u5668\u3002\u4e0e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6b66\u5668\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u904d\u5e03\u5168\u56fd\u3002\u201c\u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u9009\u533a\u4e0e\u6b66\u5668\u5236\u9020\u7cfb\u7edf\u6ca1\u6709\u5173\u8054\u201d\uff0c\u8d39\u5f17\u8bf4\u9053\u3002\u201c\u751f\u4ea7\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6b66\u5668\u610f\u5473\u7740\u521b\u9020\u5c31\u4e1a\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u6709\u65f6\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4ec5\u5b58\u7684\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\u4e86\u3002\u653f\u5ba2\u4eec\u4e0d\u80fd\u5ffd\u89c6\u8fd9\u4e9b\u58f0\u97f3\u3002\u9a6c\u8428\u8bf8\u585e\u5dde\u56fd\u4f1a\u8bae\u5458\u5df4\u5c3c\u00b7\u5f17\u5170\u514b\uff08Barney Frank\uff09\u6700\u79ef\u6781\u4e8e\u547c\u5401\u519b\u961f\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u4f46\u5f53\u5728\u5176\u5dde\u751f\u4ea7F-35\u6218\u6597\u673a\u5907\u7528\u5f15\u64ce\u7684\u51b3\u8bae\u63d0\u4ed8\u8868\u51b3\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u6295\u8d5e\u6210\u7968\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u7a7a\u519b\u8868\u793a\u5e76\u65e0\u6b64\u9700\u8981\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u5728\u534e\u76db\u987f\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u5f00\u59cb\u4e3a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u548c\u5b89\u5168\u8d4b\u4e88\u66f4\u5168\u9762\u7684\u5b9a\u4e49\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u5f53\u6570\u65b0\u7f8e\u5229\u575a\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a\uff08New America Foundation\uff09\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u201c\u5de7\u6218\u7565\u63d0\u8bae\u201d\uff08Smart Strategy Initiative\uff09\u3002\u5728\u5e15\u7279\u91cc\u514b\u00b7\u591a\u5c14\u8482\uff08Patrick Doherty\uff09\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u201c\u5927\u6218\u7565\u201d\u6b63\u5728\u5f62\u6210\uff0c\u8fd9\u6218\u7565\u65e8\u5728\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u5173\u6ce8\u56db\u4e2a\u5f71\u54cd\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u8fd9\u56db\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u5206\u522b\u662f\uff1a\u201c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5305\u5bb9\u201d\uff0c\u5728\u672a\u6765\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u5185\u5c06\u4f1a\u6709\u4e09\u5341\u4ebf\u4eba\u8de8\u5165\u4e2d\u4ea7\u9636\u7ea7\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u5bf9\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u73af\u5883\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff1b\u201c\u751f\u6001\u635f\u8017\u201d\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u6d3b\u52a8\u5bf9\u751f\u6001\u73af\u5883\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4ee5\u53ca\u751f\u6001\u707e\u96be\u7684\u540e\u679c\uff1b\u201c\u6301\u4e45\u8427\u6761\u201d\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u9700\u8981\u4e0d\u8db3\u3001\u7d27\u7f29\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\uff1b\u201c\u5f39\u6027\u8d64\u5b57\u201d\uff0c\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u548c\u603b\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u201c\u5de7\u6218\u7565\u63d0\u8bae\u201d\u4e0d\u5728\u4e8e\u8ba9\u519b\u961f\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u73af\u4fdd\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u628a\u5305\u62ec\u519b\u961f\u5728\u5185\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6574\u4f53\uff0c\u4e3a\u5176\u91cd\u65b0\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4efb\u52a1\u7684\u5148\u540e\u6b21\u5e8f\u3002\u591a\u5c14\u8482\u8ba4\u4e3a\u519b\u961f\u5e94\u8be5\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u8d85\u8d8a\u804c\u8d23\u8303\u56f4\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u91cd\u5efa\u519b\u961f\uff0c\u8981\u5feb\u901f\u884c\u52a8<\/b>!<\/b><\/p>\n

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\u7ed3\u8bba<\/strong><\/p>\n

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